{"definition_raw":"---\nid: f1-prediction-saturday\ntitle: F1 race prediction deadline refresh\nschedule: \"0 4,8,12,19 * * 5,6\"\ntimeout: 3600\nretry: true\nenabled: true\nnotify_to: f1\nnotify_on: always\nrun_as: shell\ncommand: cd /home/lucienne/workspace/projects/f1-predictor && /usr/bin/python3.12 run_weekly.py\ntags: [f1, prediction]\nruntime_profile: claude_sonnet_medium\n---\n\nFriday/Saturday guarded deadline refresh of F1 prediction (MC-4875): 04:00,\n08:00, 12:00, and 19:00 SAST (02:00/06:00/10:00/17:00 UTC). Each slot picks up\nfresh sprint / practice data, re-runs the full pipeline, and auto-submits the\nfull race picks (Pole + Top 10 in order + Fastest Lap) to Superbru \u2014 but only\nwhile the submission window is still open (see deadline-aware safety below).\n\nWhy guarded windows: the scheduler only supports static cron, so the safe\nstrategy is bounded frequent windows plus fail-closed deadline checks in\n`run_weekly.py`. The Friday windows cover Friday qualifying weekends such as\nAzerbaijan (12:00 UTC qualifying covered by the 10:00 UTC guard). The Saturday\n02:00 UTC guard covers very early qualifying such as Australia 05:00 UTC,\nJapan 06:00 UTC, and Las Vegas 04:00 UTC; the Saturday 06:00 UTC guard covers\nChina 07:00 UTC. The 10:00/17:00 UTC guards preserve later-weekend visibility.\nAfter a deadline has passed, later slots self-skip, so no double-submit and\nnothing is overwritten after the deadline.\n\nSame `run_weekly.py` script as the Thursday task \u2014 find_upcoming_race finds\nraces within 0-4 days, so today's race (1 day out) is captured.\n\n**Deadline-aware safety:** `run_weekly.main()` calls `submission_window_open(race)`\nwhich checks `now < qualifying_utc`. If Qualifying has already started (earlier\nweekend slot), the submit step is skipped \u2014 Telegram notes \"Superbru auto-submit\nskipped: qualifying already started at <time>\" and nothing is overwritten.\n\nSprint **team** pick is handled by the separate `f1-sprint-pick` task at\nSat 04:00/06:00 SAST, gated by `sprint_window_open(race)`. This refresh does\nNOT re-submit the sprint team pick.\n\nGoal: lock in updated race picks before each race's Quali deadline, still\nearning the +2 EBP. Future improvement: fully deadline-aware scheduling that\nreads `qualifying_utc` per race instead of fixed slots \u2014 must keep the existing\nbefore-sprint / before-qualifying test gates passing\n(`tests/test_sprint_winner.py::test_saturday_*`).\n","id":"f1-prediction-saturday","last_run":{"duration_s":240.71704,"log_path":"/home/lucienne/workspace/logs/task-runs/f1-prediction-saturday/413483.log","output":"9_fp_deep_analysis.py (timeout=600s)...\n[SUCCESS] 09_fp_deep_analysis.py completed\n[PIPELINE] Saved FP signals (FastF1) for 0 drivers\n[PIPELINE] Saved aero/PU signals: 0 teams aero, 0 teams PU\n[PIPELINE] FastF1 produced 0 drivers \u2014 falling back to OpenF1\n\n[PIPELINE] Running 09b_openf1_fp.py (timeout=300s)...\n[SUCCESS] 09b_openf1_fp.py completed\n[PIPELINE] Saved FP signals (OpenF1) for 0 drivers\n[PIPELINE] OpenF1 produced 0 drivers \u2014 marking FP analysis degraded\n[PIPELINE] FP signals degraded for barcelona-2026: OpenF1 produced 0 drivers\n\n[PIPELINE] Running 05_model.py (timeout=300s)...\n[SUCCESS] 05_model.py completed\n\n[PIPELINE] Running 11_f1insights.py (timeout=90s)...\n[SUCCESS] 11_f1insights.py completed\n\n[PIPELINE] Running 06_opus_synthesizer.py (timeout=600s)...\n[SUCCESS] 06_opus_synthesizer.py completed\n\n============================================================\nPipeline Complete\nSteps run: 11\nFailed: 2\nFailed steps: ['07_deep_research.py', 'fp_analysis']\n============================================================\n\n\n*F1 Prediction: Barcelona Grand Prix*\n\nP1: George Russell (Mercedes)\nP2: Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes)\nP3: Lando Norris (McLaren)\nP4: Oscar Piastri (McLaren)\nP5: Charles Leclerc (Ferrari)\nP6: Max Verstappen (Red Bull)\nP7: Lewis Hamilton (Ferrari)\nP8: Isack Hadjar (Red Bull)\nP9: Liam Lawson (Racing Bulls)\nP10: Pierre Gasly (Alpine)\n\nPole: Lando Norris\nFL: Max Verstappen\nQualifying: 2026-06-13 16:00 SAST\n\n_9 AI override(s) applied_\n\nSummary: Live FP2 telemetry challenges the model's Antonelli-first call: Russell owns the strongest combined single-lap-plus-race-pace package and takes P1, with Antonelli's lukewarm Friday dropping him to P2. McLaren's one-lap speed (Norris pole, Piastri P4) is undercut by weaker long-run pace, while Verstappen's HARD-tyre race pace flags a recovery drive at an overtaking-starved circuit.\n\nRisks:\n- Qualifying not yet run \u2014 grid order speculative; at Barcelona track position outweighs race pace, so a poor Saturday for Russell/Verstappen scrambles this order\n- McLaren single-lap pace could convert to a front-row lockout and lead from the front, overriding their weaker FP2 race-pace medians\n\nSubmit before qualifying!\n\n_\u26a0\ufe0f Pipeline refresh failed (data source degraded); submitting the most recent prediction so the quali deadline is not missed._\n[Superbru] Auto-submitting full picks for barcelona-2026 (sprint constructor/team: not submitted in full-race mode)\nerbru.com/player/dashboard.php#tab=upcoming\n[Submit] Active round tab: round7\n\n[Submit] Filling picks (dry_run=False, sprint_only=False)\n[Submit] Pole: Lando Norris (id=203)\n[Submit] P1: George Russell (id=205)\n[Submit] P2: Kimi Antonelli (id=243)\n[Submit] P3: Lando Norris (id=203)\n[Submit] P4: Oscar Piastri (id=231)\n[Submit] P5: Charles Leclerc (id=201)\n[Submit] P6: Max Verstappen (id=170)\n[Submit] P7: Lewis Hamilton (id=9)\n[Submit] P8: Isack Hadjar (id=244)\n[Submit] P9: Liam Lawson (id=234)\n[Submit] P10: Pierre Gasly (id=194)\n[Submit] FL: Max Verstappen (id=170)\n[Submit] Filled-state screenshot: /home/lucienne/workspace/projects/f1-predictor/data/superbru_filled_barcelona-2026.png\n[Submit] Clicked Save Picks (#save-button)\n[Verify] pole: saved=None intended=203 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos1: saved=None intended=205 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos2: saved=None intended=243 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos3: saved=None intended=203 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos4: saved=None intended=231 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos5: saved=None intended=201 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos6: saved=None intended=170 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos7: saved=None intended=9 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos8: saved=None intended=244 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos9: saved=None intended=234 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos10: saved=None intended=194 MISMATCH\n[Verify] lap: saved=None intended=170 MISMATCH\n[Submit] SAVE NOT VERIFIED \u2014 mismatched fields: ['pole', 'pos1', 'pos2', 'pos3', 'pos4', 'pos5', 'pos6', 'pos7', 'pos8', 'pos9', 'pos10', 'lap']\n[Submit] FAILED \u2014 picks not verified as saved\n\n\nDone: Barcelona Grand Prix prediction generated and sent\n","started_at":"2026-06-13T04:00:05.825266+02:00","status":"completed"},"next_run":"2026-06-13 08:00","next_run_iso":"2026-06-13T08:00:00+02:00","runs":[{"duration_s":240.71704,"finished_at":"2026-06-13T04:04:06.546334+02:00","id":413483,"log_path":"/home/lucienne/workspace/logs/task-runs/f1-prediction-saturday/413483.log","output":"9_fp_deep_analysis.py (timeout=600s)...\n[SUCCESS] 09_fp_deep_analysis.py completed\n[PIPELINE] Saved FP signals (FastF1) for 0 drivers\n[PIPELINE] Saved aero/PU signals: 0 teams aero, 0 teams PU\n[PIPELINE] FastF1 produced 0 drivers \u2014 falling back to OpenF1\n\n[PIPELINE] Running 09b_openf1_fp.py (timeout=300s)...\n[SUCCESS] 09b_openf1_fp.py completed\n[PIPELINE] Saved FP signals (OpenF1) for 0 drivers\n[PIPELINE] OpenF1 produced 0 drivers \u2014 marking FP analysis degraded\n[PIPELINE] FP signals degraded for barcelona-2026: OpenF1 produced 0 drivers\n\n[PIPELINE] Running 05_model.py (timeout=300s)...\n[SUCCESS] 05_model.py completed\n\n[PIPELINE] Running 11_f1insights.py (timeout=90s)...\n[SUCCESS] 11_f1insights.py completed\n\n[PIPELINE] Running 06_opus_synthesizer.py (timeout=600s)...\n[SUCCESS] 06_opus_synthesizer.py completed\n\n============================================================\nPipeline Complete\nSteps run: 11\nFailed: 2\nFailed steps: ['07_deep_research.py', 'fp_analysis']\n============================================================\n\n\n*F1 Prediction: Barcelona Grand Prix*\n\nP1: George Russell (Mercedes)\nP2: Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes)\nP3: Lando Norris (McLaren)\nP4: Oscar Piastri (McLaren)\nP5: Charles Leclerc (Ferrari)\nP6: Max Verstappen (Red Bull)\nP7: Lewis Hamilton (Ferrari)\nP8: Isack Hadjar (Red Bull)\nP9: Liam Lawson (Racing Bulls)\nP10: Pierre Gasly (Alpine)\n\nPole: Lando Norris\nFL: Max Verstappen\nQualifying: 2026-06-13 16:00 SAST\n\n_9 AI override(s) applied_\n\nSummary: Live FP2 telemetry challenges the model's Antonelli-first call: Russell owns the strongest combined single-lap-plus-race-pace package and takes P1, with Antonelli's lukewarm Friday dropping him to P2. McLaren's one-lap speed (Norris pole, Piastri P4) is undercut by weaker long-run pace, while Verstappen's HARD-tyre race pace flags a recovery drive at an overtaking-starved circuit.\n\nRisks:\n- Qualifying not yet run \u2014 grid order speculative; at Barcelona track position outweighs race pace, so a poor Saturday for Russell/Verstappen scrambles this order\n- McLaren single-lap pace could convert to a front-row lockout and lead from the front, overriding their weaker FP2 race-pace medians\n\nSubmit before qualifying!\n\n_\u26a0\ufe0f Pipeline refresh failed (data source degraded); submitting the most recent prediction so the quali deadline is not missed._\n[Superbru] Auto-submitting full picks for barcelona-2026 (sprint constructor/team: not submitted in full-race mode)\nerbru.com/player/dashboard.php#tab=upcoming\n[Submit] Active round tab: round7\n\n[Submit] Filling picks (dry_run=False, sprint_only=False)\n[Submit] Pole: Lando Norris (id=203)\n[Submit] P1: George Russell (id=205)\n[Submit] P2: Kimi Antonelli (id=243)\n[Submit] P3: Lando Norris (id=203)\n[Submit] P4: Oscar Piastri (id=231)\n[Submit] P5: Charles Leclerc (id=201)\n[Submit] P6: Max Verstappen (id=170)\n[Submit] P7: Lewis Hamilton (id=9)\n[Submit] P8: Isack Hadjar (id=244)\n[Submit] P9: Liam Lawson (id=234)\n[Submit] P10: Pierre Gasly (id=194)\n[Submit] FL: Max Verstappen (id=170)\n[Submit] Filled-state screenshot: /home/lucienne/workspace/projects/f1-predictor/data/superbru_filled_barcelona-2026.png\n[Submit] Clicked Save Picks (#save-button)\n[Verify] pole: saved=None intended=203 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos1: saved=None intended=205 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos2: saved=None intended=243 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos3: saved=None intended=203 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos4: saved=None intended=231 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos5: saved=None intended=201 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos6: saved=None intended=170 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos7: saved=None intended=9 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos8: saved=None intended=244 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos9: saved=None intended=234 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos10: saved=None intended=194 MISMATCH\n[Verify] lap: saved=None intended=170 MISMATCH\n[Submit] SAVE NOT VERIFIED \u2014 mismatched fields: ['pole', 'pos1', 'pos2', 'pos3', 'pos4', 'pos5', 'pos6', 'pos7', 'pos8', 'pos9', 'pos10', 'lap']\n[Submit] FAILED \u2014 picks not verified as saved\n\n\nDone: Barcelona Grand Prix prediction generated and sent\n","started_at":"2026-06-13T04:00:05.825266+02:00","status":"completed","task_id":"f1-prediction-saturday","task_name":"F1 race prediction deadline refresh"},{"duration_s":215.415055,"finished_at":"2026-06-12T19:03:38.836844+02:00","id":411912,"log_path":"/home/lucienne/workspace/logs/task-runs/f1-prediction-saturday/411912.log","output":".py completed\n\n[PIPELINE] FP analysis: trying FastF1 first...\n\n[PIPELINE] Running 09_fp_deep_analysis.py (timeout=600s)...\n[SUCCESS] 09_fp_deep_analysis.py completed\n[PIPELINE] Saved FP signals (FastF1) for 0 drivers\n[PIPELINE] Saved aero/PU signals: 0 teams aero, 0 teams PU\n[PIPELINE] FastF1 produced 0 drivers \u2014 falling back to OpenF1\n\n[PIPELINE] Running 09b_openf1_fp.py (timeout=300s)...\n[SUCCESS] 09b_openf1_fp.py completed\n[PIPELINE] Saved FP signals (OpenF1) for 0 drivers\n[PIPELINE] OpenF1 produced 0 drivers \u2014 marking FP analysis degraded\n[PIPELINE] FP signals degraded for barcelona-2026: OpenF1 produced 0 drivers\n\n[PIPELINE] Running 05_model.py (timeout=300s)...\n[SUCCESS] 05_model.py completed\n\n[PIPELINE] Running 06_opus_synthesizer.py (timeout=600s)...\n[SUCCESS] 06_opus_synthesizer.py completed\n\n============================================================\nPipeline Complete\nSteps run: 10\nFailed: 2\nFailed steps: ['07_deep_research.py', 'fp_analysis']\n============================================================\n\n\n*F1 Prediction: Barcelona Grand Prix*\n\nP1: Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes)\nP2: George Russell (Mercedes)\nP3: Lewis Hamilton (Ferrari)\nP4: Charles Leclerc (Ferrari)\nP5: Oscar Piastri (McLaren)\nP6: Lando Norris (McLaren)\nP7: Max Verstappen (Red Bull)\nP8: Isack Hadjar (Red Bull)\nP9: Liam Lawson (Racing Bulls)\nP10: Pierre Gasly (Alpine)\n\nPole: Kimi Antonelli\nFL: Kimi Antonelli\nQualifying: 2026-06-13 16:00 SAST\n\n_2 AI override(s) applied_\n\nSummary: Mercedes heads to high-downforce Barcelona as the clear pace-setter with Antonelli leading a surging Russell, both maxing betting and topping Polymarket. Ferrari's season-long constructor edge (0.68 vs McLaren's 0.48) narrowly holds Hamilton and Leclerc ahead of a fast-climbing McLaren pair, while tyre management on abrasive tarmac and a structurally-weak Red Bull define the chase.\n\nRisks:\n- Saturday qualifying has not run \u2014 grid order is speculative and FP2 pace (just released) is not yet in the signal scores\n- McLaren's betting/Polymarket surge (Norris 10%, Piastri 8.7%) could mean real FP2 pace that flips them ahead of Ferrari \u2014 the P3-P6 gap is razor-thin (model scores within 0.04)\n\nSubmit before qualifying!\n\n_\u26a0\ufe0f Pipeline refresh failed (data source degraded); submitting the most recent prediction so the quali deadline is not missed._\n[Superbru] Auto-submitting full picks for barcelona-2026 (sprint constructor/team: not submitted in full-race mode)\nbru.com/player/dashboard.php#tab=upcoming\n[Submit] Active round tab: round7\n\n[Submit] Filling picks (dry_run=False, sprint_only=False)\n[Submit] Pole: Kimi Antonelli (id=243)\n[Submit] P1: Kimi Antonelli (id=243)\n[Submit] P2: George Russell (id=205)\n[Submit] P3: Lewis Hamilton (id=9)\n[Submit] P4: Charles Leclerc (id=201)\n[Submit] P5: Oscar Piastri (id=231)\n[Submit] P6: Lando Norris (id=203)\n[Submit] P7: Max Verstappen (id=170)\n[Submit] P8: Isack Hadjar (id=244)\n[Submit] P9: Liam Lawson (id=234)\n[Submit] P10: Pierre Gasly (id=194)\n[Submit] FL: Kimi Antonelli (id=243)\n[Submit] Filled-state screenshot: /home/lucienne/workspace/projects/f1-predictor/data/superbru_filled_barcelona-2026.png\n[Submit] Clicked Save Picks (#save-button)\n[Verify] pole: saved=None intended=243 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos1: saved=None intended=243 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos2: saved=None intended=205 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos3: saved=None intended=9 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos4: saved=None intended=201 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos5: saved=None intended=231 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos6: saved=None intended=203 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos7: saved=None intended=170 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos8: saved=None intended=244 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos9: saved=None intended=234 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos10: saved=None intended=194 MISMATCH\n[Verify] lap: saved=None intended=243 MISMATCH\n[Submit] SAVE NOT VERIFIED \u2014 mismatched fields: ['pole', 'pos1', 'pos2', 'pos3', 'pos4', 'pos5', 'pos6', 'pos7', 'pos8', 'pos9', 'pos10', 'lap']\n[Submit] FAILED \u2014 picks not verified as saved\n\n\nDone: Barcelona Grand Prix prediction generated and sent\n","started_at":"2026-06-12T19:00:03.419017+02:00","status":"completed","task_id":"f1-prediction-saturday","task_name":"F1 race prediction deadline refresh"},{"duration_s":210.328565,"finished_at":"2026-06-12T12:03:33.988869+02:00","id":410708,"log_path":"/home/lucienne/workspace/logs/task-runs/f1-prediction-saturday/410708.log","output":"00s)...\n[SUCCESS] 10_f1_editorial.py completed\n\n[PIPELINE] FP analysis: trying FastF1 first...\n\n[PIPELINE] Running 09_fp_deep_analysis.py (timeout=600s)...\n[SUCCESS] 09_fp_deep_analysis.py completed\n[PIPELINE] Saved FP signals (FastF1) for 0 drivers\n[PIPELINE] Saved aero/PU signals: 0 teams aero, 0 teams PU\n[PIPELINE] FastF1 produced 0 drivers \u2014 falling back to OpenF1\n\n[PIPELINE] Running 09b_openf1_fp.py (timeout=300s)...\n[SUCCESS] 09b_openf1_fp.py completed\n[PIPELINE] Saved FP signals (OpenF1) for 0 drivers\n[PIPELINE] OpenF1 produced 0 drivers \u2014 marking FP analysis degraded\n[PIPELINE] FP signals degraded for barcelona-2026: OpenF1 produced 0 drivers\n\n[PIPELINE] Running 05_model.py (timeout=300s)...\n[SUCCESS] 05_model.py completed\n\n[PIPELINE] Running 06_opus_synthesizer.py (timeout=600s)...\n[SUCCESS] 06_opus_synthesizer.py completed\n\n============================================================\nPipeline Complete\nSteps run: 10\nFailed: 2\nFailed steps: ['07_deep_research.py', 'fp_analysis']\n============================================================\n\n\n*F1 Prediction: Barcelona Grand Prix*\n\nP1: Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes)\nP2: George Russell (Mercedes)\nP3: Lewis Hamilton (Ferrari)\nP4: Charles Leclerc (Ferrari)\nP5: Lando Norris (McLaren)\nP6: Oscar Piastri (McLaren)\nP7: Max Verstappen (Red Bull)\nP8: Isack Hadjar (Red Bull)\nP9: Liam Lawson (Racing Bulls)\nP10: Pierre Gasly (Alpine)\n\nPole: Kimi Antonelli\nFL: Kimi Antonelli\nQualifying: 2026-06-13 16:00 SAST\n\n_2 AI override(s) applied_\n\nSummary: Mercedes arrives at high-downforce Barcelona with its 2026 floor upgrade as the clear pace-setter, Antonelli leading Russell on every convergent signal \u2014 model, scores, and Polymarket. Ferrari (Hamilton over Leclerc) heads the chase, while McLaren and a structurally-weaker Red Bull leave Norris, Piastri and Verstappen scrapping over the lower podium; abrasive tarmac and high front-left wear make tyre management decisive.\n\nRisks:\n- Saturday qualifying has not run \u2014 grid order and the inferred Mercedes front-row lock are speculative\n- Weather is UNKNOWN: rain at Barcelona would reshuffle toward wet-capable Hamilton/Verstappen and penalise rookie Antonelli\n\nSubmit before qualifying!\n\n_\u26a0\ufe0f Pipeline refresh failed (data source degraded); submitting the most recent prediction so the quali deadline is not missed._\n[Superbru] Auto-submitting full picks for barcelona-2026 (sprint constructor/team: not submitted in full-race mode)\nbru.com/player/dashboard.php#tab=upcoming\n[Submit] Active round tab: round7\n\n[Submit] Filling picks (dry_run=False, sprint_only=False)\n[Submit] Pole: Kimi Antonelli (id=243)\n[Submit] P1: Kimi Antonelli (id=243)\n[Submit] P2: George Russell (id=205)\n[Submit] P3: Lewis Hamilton (id=9)\n[Submit] P4: Charles Leclerc (id=201)\n[Submit] P5: Lando Norris (id=203)\n[Submit] P6: Oscar Piastri (id=231)\n[Submit] P7: Max Verstappen (id=170)\n[Submit] P8: Isack Hadjar (id=244)\n[Submit] P9: Liam Lawson (id=234)\n[Submit] P10: Pierre Gasly (id=194)\n[Submit] FL: Kimi Antonelli (id=243)\n[Submit] Filled-state screenshot: /home/lucienne/workspace/projects/f1-predictor/data/superbru_filled_barcelona-2026.png\n[Submit] Clicked Save Picks (#save-button)\n[Verify] pole: saved=None intended=243 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos1: saved=None intended=243 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos2: saved=None intended=205 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos3: saved=None intended=9 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos4: saved=None intended=201 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos5: saved=None intended=203 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos6: saved=None intended=231 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos7: saved=None intended=170 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos8: saved=None intended=244 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos9: saved=None intended=234 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos10: saved=None intended=194 MISMATCH\n[Verify] lap: saved=None intended=243 MISMATCH\n[Submit] SAVE NOT VERIFIED \u2014 mismatched fields: ['pole', 'pos1', 'pos2', 'pos3', 'pos4', 'pos5', 'pos6', 'pos7', 'pos8', 'pos9', 'pos10', 'lap']\n[Submit] FAILED \u2014 picks not verified as saved\n\n\nDone: Barcelona Grand Prix prediction generated and sent\n","started_at":"2026-06-12T12:00:03.656681+02:00","status":"completed","task_id":"f1-prediction-saturday","task_name":"F1 race prediction deadline refresh"},{"duration_s":171.477221,"finished_at":"2026-06-12T08:02:55.168749+02:00","id":410015,"log_path":"/home/lucienne/workspace/logs/task-runs/f1-prediction-saturday/410015.log","output":"] Running 02_news.py (timeout=300s)...\n[SUCCESS] 02_news.py completed\n\n[PIPELINE] Running 03_reddit.py (timeout=300s)...\n[SUCCESS] 03_reddit.py completed\n\n[PIPELINE] Running 04_odds.py (timeout=300s)...\n[SUCCESS] 04_odds.py completed\n\n[PIPELINE] Running 08_polymarket.py (timeout=300s)...\n[SUCCESS] 08_polymarket.py completed\n\n[PIPELINE] Running 07_deep_research.py (timeout=600s)...\n[ERROR] 07_deep_research.py failed:\n\n\n[PIPELINE] Running 10_f1_editorial.py (timeout=300s)...\n[SUCCESS] 10_f1_editorial.py completed\n\n[PIPELINE] FP analysis: practice has not run yet for barcelona-2026 \u2014 skipping (expected pre-FP1)\n[PIPELINE] FP signals degraded for barcelona-2026: pre-FP1: practice not yet run\n\n[PIPELINE] Running 05_model.py (timeout=300s)...\n[SUCCESS] 05_model.py completed\n\n[PIPELINE] Running 06_opus_synthesizer.py (timeout=600s)...\n[SUCCESS] 06_opus_synthesizer.py completed\n\n============================================================\nPipeline Complete\nSteps run: 10\nFailed: 1\nFailed steps: ['07_deep_research.py']\n============================================================\n\n\n*F1 Prediction: Barcelona Grand Prix*\n\nP1: Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes)\nP2: George Russell (Mercedes)\nP3: Lewis Hamilton (Ferrari)\nP4: Charles Leclerc (Ferrari)\nP5: Lando Norris (McLaren)\nP6: Oscar Piastri (McLaren)\nP7: Max Verstappen (Red Bull)\nP8: Isack Hadjar (Red Bull)\nP9: Liam Lawson (Racing Bulls)\nP10: Pierre Gasly (Alpine)\n\nPole: Kimi Antonelli\nFL: Kimi Antonelli\nQualifying: 2026-06-13 16:00 SAST\n\n_2 AI override(s) applied_\n\nSummary: Mercedes arrives at high-downforce Barcelona with its 2026 floor upgrade and locks out the front row, Antonelli leading Russell on every convergent signal \u2014 model, scores, and Polymarket. Ferrari (Hamilton over Leclerc) heads the chase, while a reverted McLaren upgrade and Red Bull's structural deficit leave Norris, Piastri and Verstappen scrapping over the lower podium and top-7.\n\nRisks:\n- Saturday qualifying has not run \u2014 the front-row 'P1/P2' lockout is inferred from editorial quotes, not a confirmed grid\n- Weather is UNKNOWN: rain at Barcelona would reshuffle toward wet-capable Hamilton/Verstappen and penalise rookie Antonelli\n\nSubmit before qualifying!\n\n_\u26a0\ufe0f Pipeline refresh failed (data source degraded); submitting the most recent prediction so the quali deadline is not missed._\n[Superbru] Auto-submitting full picks for barcelona-2026 (sprint constructor/team: not submitted in full-race mode)\nbru.com/player/dashboard.php#tab=upcoming\n[Submit] Active round tab: round7\n\n[Submit] Filling picks (dry_run=False, sprint_only=False)\n[Submit] Pole: Kimi Antonelli (id=243)\n[Submit] P1: Kimi Antonelli (id=243)\n[Submit] P2: George Russell (id=205)\n[Submit] P3: Lewis Hamilton (id=9)\n[Submit] P4: Charles Leclerc (id=201)\n[Submit] P5: Lando Norris (id=203)\n[Submit] P6: Oscar Piastri (id=231)\n[Submit] P7: Max Verstappen (id=170)\n[Submit] P8: Isack Hadjar (id=244)\n[Submit] P9: Liam Lawson (id=234)\n[Submit] P10: Pierre Gasly (id=194)\n[Submit] FL: Kimi Antonelli (id=243)\n[Submit] Filled-state screenshot: /home/lucienne/workspace/projects/f1-predictor/data/superbru_filled_barcelona-2026.png\n[Submit] Clicked Save Picks (#save-button)\n[Verify] pole: saved=None intended=243 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos1: saved=None intended=243 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos2: saved=None intended=205 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos3: saved=None intended=9 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos4: saved=None intended=201 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos5: saved=None intended=203 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos6: saved=None intended=231 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos7: saved=None intended=170 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos8: saved=None intended=244 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos9: saved=None intended=234 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos10: saved=None intended=194 MISMATCH\n[Verify] lap: saved=None intended=243 MISMATCH\n[Submit] SAVE NOT VERIFIED \u2014 mismatched fields: ['pole', 'pos1', 'pos2', 'pos3', 'pos4', 'pos5', 'pos6', 'pos7', 'pos8', 'pos9', 'pos10', 'lap']\n[Submit] FAILED \u2014 picks not verified as saved\n\n\nDone: Barcelona Grand Prix prediction generated and sent\n","started_at":"2026-06-12T08:00:03.688976+02:00","status":"completed","task_id":"f1-prediction-saturday","task_name":"F1 race prediction deadline refresh"},{"duration_s":233.115894,"finished_at":"2026-06-12T04:04:02.729949+02:00","id":409318,"log_path":"/home/lucienne/workspace/logs/task-runs/f1-prediction-saturday/409318.log","output":"00s)...\n[SUCCESS] 02_news.py completed\n\n[PIPELINE] Running 03_reddit.py (timeout=300s)...\n[SUCCESS] 03_reddit.py completed\n\n[PIPELINE] Running 04_odds.py (timeout=300s)...\n[SUCCESS] 04_odds.py completed\n\n[PIPELINE] Running 08_polymarket.py (timeout=300s)...\n[SUCCESS] 08_polymarket.py completed\n\n[PIPELINE] Running 07_deep_research.py (timeout=600s)...\n[ERROR] 07_deep_research.py failed:\n\n\n[PIPELINE] Running 10_f1_editorial.py (timeout=300s)...\n[SUCCESS] 10_f1_editorial.py completed\n\n[PIPELINE] FP analysis: practice has not run yet for barcelona-2026 \u2014 skipping (expected pre-FP1)\n[PIPELINE] FP signals degraded for barcelona-2026: pre-FP1: practice not yet run\n\n[PIPELINE] Running 05_model.py (timeout=300s)...\n[SUCCESS] 05_model.py completed\n\n[PIPELINE] Running 06_opus_synthesizer.py (timeout=600s)...\n[SUCCESS] 06_opus_synthesizer.py completed\n\n============================================================\nPipeline Complete\nSteps run: 10\nFailed: 1\nFailed steps: ['07_deep_research.py']\n============================================================\n\n\n*F1 Prediction: Barcelona Grand Prix*\n\nP1: Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes)\nP2: George Russell (Mercedes)\nP3: Lewis Hamilton (Ferrari)\nP4: Charles Leclerc (Ferrari)\nP5: Oscar Piastri (McLaren)\nP6: Lando Norris (McLaren)\nP7: Max Verstappen (Red Bull)\nP8: Isack Hadjar (Red Bull)\nP9: Liam Lawson (Racing Bulls)\nP10: Pierre Gasly (Alpine)\n\nPole: Kimi Antonelli\nFL: Kimi Antonelli\nQualifying: 2026-06-13 16:00 SAST\n\n_2 AI override(s) applied_\n\nSummary: Mercedes arrives at high-downforce Barcelona with its first major 2026 floor upgrade and locks out the front row, with Antonelli leading Russell on every convergent signal \u2014 model, scores, and Polymarket. Ferrari (Hamilton ahead of Leclerc) heads the chasing pack, while a reverted McLaren upgrade and Red Bull's structural deficit leave Piastri, Norris and Verstappen scrapping over the lower podium and top-7.\n\nRisks:\n- Saturday qualifying has not run \u2014 front-row 'P1/P2' lockout is inferred from editorial quotes, not confirmed grid order\n- Weather is UNKNOWN: rain at Barcelona would reshuffle toward wet-capable Hamilton/Verstappen and penalise rookies (Antonelli)\n\nSubmit before qualifying!\n\n_\u26a0\ufe0f Pipeline refresh failed (data source degraded); submitting the most recent prediction so the quali deadline is not missed._\n[Superbru] Auto-submitting full picks for barcelona-2026 (sprint constructor/team: not submitted in full-race mode)\nbru.com/player/dashboard.php#tab=upcoming\n[Submit] Active round tab: round7\n\n[Submit] Filling picks (dry_run=False, sprint_only=False)\n[Submit] Pole: Kimi Antonelli (id=243)\n[Submit] P1: Kimi Antonelli (id=243)\n[Submit] P2: George Russell (id=205)\n[Submit] P3: Lewis Hamilton (id=9)\n[Submit] P4: Charles Leclerc (id=201)\n[Submit] P5: Oscar Piastri (id=231)\n[Submit] P6: Lando Norris (id=203)\n[Submit] P7: Max Verstappen (id=170)\n[Submit] P8: Isack Hadjar (id=244)\n[Submit] P9: Liam Lawson (id=234)\n[Submit] P10: Pierre Gasly (id=194)\n[Submit] FL: Kimi Antonelli (id=243)\n[Submit] Filled-state screenshot: /home/lucienne/workspace/projects/f1-predictor/data/superbru_filled_barcelona-2026.png\n[Submit] Clicked Save Picks (#save-button)\n[Verify] pole: saved=None intended=243 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos1: saved=None intended=243 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos2: saved=None intended=205 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos3: saved=None intended=9 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos4: saved=None intended=201 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos5: saved=None intended=231 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos6: saved=None intended=203 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos7: saved=None intended=170 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos8: saved=None intended=244 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos9: saved=None intended=234 MISMATCH\n[Verify] pos10: saved=None intended=194 MISMATCH\n[Verify] lap: saved=None intended=243 MISMATCH\n[Submit] SAVE NOT VERIFIED \u2014 mismatched fields: ['pole', 'pos1', 'pos2', 'pos3', 'pos4', 'pos5', 'pos6', 'pos7', 'pos8', 'pos9', 'pos10', 'lap']\n[Submit] FAILED \u2014 picks not verified as saved\n\n\nDone: Barcelona Grand Prix prediction generated and sent\n","started_at":"2026-06-12T04:00:09.610845+02:00","status":"completed","task_id":"f1-prediction-saturday","task_name":"F1 race prediction deadline refresh"},{"duration_s":165.862269,"finished_at":"2026-06-06T19:02:51.947924+02:00","id":386166,"log_path":"/home/lucienne/workspace/logs/task-runs/f1-prediction-saturday/386166.log","output":"Race found: Monaco Grand Prix on 2026-06-07\nType: Standard weekend\nRunning pipeline for Monaco Grand Prix (monaco-2026)...\n\n============================================================\nF1 Predictor Pipeline\nRace: Monaco Grand Prix\nCircuit: monaco\nSprint: False\nDate: 2026-06-07\nPhase: predict\nOutput: /home/lucienne/workspace/projects/f1-predictor/data/predictions/monaco-2026\n============================================================\n\n[PIPELINE] Running 01_fastf1.py (timeout=300s)...\n[SUCCESS] 01_fastf1.py completed\n\n[PIPELINE] Running 02_news.py (timeout=300s)...\n[SUCCESS] 02_news.py completed\n\n[PIPELINE] Running 03_reddit.py (timeout=300s)...\n[SUCCESS] 03_reddit.py completed\n\n[PIPELINE] Running 04_odds.py (timeout=300s)...\n[SUCCESS] 04_odds.py completed\n\n[PIPELINE] Running 08_polymarket.py (timeout=300s)...\n[SUCCESS] 08_polymarket.py completed\n\n[PIPELINE] Running 07_deep_research.py (timeout=600s)...\n[SUCCESS] 07_deep_research.py completed\n\n[PIPELINE] Running 10_f1_editorial.py (timeout=300s)...\n[SUCCESS] 10_f1_editorial.py completed\n\n[PIPELINE] FP analysis: trying FastF1 first...\n\n[PIPELINE] Running 09_fp_deep_analysis.py (timeout=600s)...\n[SUCCESS] 09_fp_deep_analysis.py completed\n[PIPELINE] Saved FP signals (FastF1) for 22 drivers\n[PIPELINE] Saved aero/PU signals: 0 teams aero, 0 teams PU\n\n[PIPELINE] Running 05_model.py (timeout=300s)...\n[SUCCESS] 05_model.py completed\n\n[PIPELINE] Running 06_opus_synthesizer.py (timeout=600s)...\n[SUCCESS] 06_opus_synthesizer.py completed\n\n============================================================\nPipeline Complete\nSteps run: 10\nFailed: 0\n============================================================\n\n\n*F1 Prediction: Monaco Grand Prix*\n\nP1: Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes)\nP2: Max Verstappen (Red Bull)\nP3: George Russell (Mercedes)\nP4: Lewis Hamilton (Ferrari)\nP5: Charles Leclerc (Ferrari)\nP6: Oscar Piastri (McLaren)\nP7: Lando Norris (McLaren)\nP8: Nico Hulkenberg (Audi)\nP9: Isack Hadjar (Red Bull)\nP10: Gabriel Bortoleto (Audi)\n\nPole: Kimi Antonelli\nFL: Charles Leclerc\nQualifying: 2026-06-06 16:00 SAST\n\n_4 AI override(s) applied_\n\nSummary: Qualifying has run and the picture flipped: the model (95% confidence) and Polymarket (57.5%) both crown Antonelli, while the Ferraris' market collapse \u2014 Leclerc at 5% despite pole pace and the highest volume \u2014 signals grid penalties that bury their raw speed. At a 0%-rain Monaco where track position is everything, Antonelli wins from the front with Verstappen the clear second, Russell next, and the quick-but-penalised Ferraris recovering only to mid-points.\n\nRisks:\n- The Leclerc/Hamilton grid-penalty read is inferred from the Polymarket collapse, not explicit news \u2014 if no penalty exists, the pole-sitting Ferrari wins and this order is wrong at the top\n- Polymarket is thin and can be single-actor distorted; Antonelli's 57.5% and Verstappen's 25.5% may overstate their true odds\n\nSubmit before qualifying!\n[Superbru] Submission window closed (2026-06-06 16:00 SAST) \u2014 skipping auto-submit\n\nDone: Monaco Grand Prix prediction generated and sent\n","started_at":"2026-06-06T19:00:06.083651+02:00","status":"completed","task_id":"f1-prediction-saturday","task_name":"F1 race prediction Saturday refresh"},{"duration_s":159.408417,"finished_at":"2026-06-06T12:02:45.475817+02:00","id":384794,"log_path":"/home/lucienne/workspace/logs/task-runs/f1-prediction-saturday/384794.log","output":"ictor/pipeline/09b_openf1_fp.py\", line 451, in <module>\n    sys.exit(main())\n             ^^^^^^\n  File \"/home/lucienne/workspace/projects/f1-predictor/pipeline/09b_openf1_fp.py\", line 405, in main\n    meeting = find_meeting(args.race)\n              ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^\n  File \"/home/lucienne/workspace/projects/f1-predictor/pipeline/09b_openf1_fp.py\", line 70, in find_meeting\n    r.raise_for_status()\n  File \"/home/lucienne/.local/lib/python3.12/site-packages/httpx/_models.py\", line 829, in raise_for_status\n    raise HTTPStatusError(message, request=request, response=self)\nhttpx.HTTPStatusError: Client error '401 Unauthorized' for url 'https://api.openf1.org/v1/meetings?year=2026'\nFor more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/401\n\n\n[PIPELINE] Running 05_model.py (timeout=300s)...\n[SUCCESS] 05_model.py completed\n\n[PIPELINE] Running 06_opus_synthesizer.py (timeout=600s)...\n[SUCCESS] 06_opus_synthesizer.py completed\n\n============================================================\nPipeline Complete\nSteps run: 10\nFailed: 1\nFailed steps: ['fp_analysis']\n============================================================\n\n\n*F1 Prediction: Monaco Grand Prix*\n\nP1: Charles Leclerc (Ferrari)\nP2: Lewis Hamilton (Ferrari)\nP3: George Russell (Mercedes)\nP4: Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes)\nP5: Max Verstappen (Red Bull)\nP6: Lando Norris (McLaren)\nP7: Oscar Piastri (McLaren)\nP8: Oliver Bearman (Haas)\nP9: Esteban Ocon (Haas)\nP10: Isack Hadjar (Red Bull)\n\nPole: Charles Leclerc\nFL: Lewis Hamilton\nQualifying: 2026-06-06 16:00 SAST\n\n_7 AI override(s) applied_\n\nSummary: Monaco is a track-position race with 0% rain, so Saturday quali (not yet run) decides nearly everything. Ferrari look strongest on combined FP pace, home advantage and a heavy Polymarket lean toward Leclerc and Hamilton, so I rank the Ferrari pair ahead of the model's Mercedes-led order. Mercedes (Russell, Antonelli) and a Verstappen single-lap special head the chase.\n\nRisks:\n- Saturday qualifying hasn't run \u2014 FP-based pace order can shift and a single lap defines the whole race here\n- Polymarket is thin and can be single-actor distorted, so Leclerc/Hamilton win odds may be overstated\n\nSubmit before qualifying!\n\n_\u26a0\ufe0f Pipeline refresh failed (data source degraded); submitting the most recent prediction so the quali deadline is not missed._\n[Superbru] Auto-submitting full picks for monaco-2026 (sprint constructor/team: n/a (non-sprint))\ni)\n  P2: Lewis Hamilton (Ferrari)\n  P3: George Russell (Mercedes)\n  P4: Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes)\n  P5: Max Verstappen (Red Bull)\n  P6: Lando Norris (McLaren)\n  P7: Oscar Piastri (McLaren)\n  P8: Oliver Bearman (Haas)\n  P9: Esteban Ocon (Haas)\n  P10: Isack Hadjar (Red Bull)\n  Pole: Charles Leclerc\n  FL: Lewis Hamilton\n  Sprint team: (skipped \u2014 non-sprint weekend)\n[Superbru] Cookie consent dismissed\n[Superbru] Email filled via input[type='email']\n[Superbru] Password filled via input[type='password']\n[Superbru] Clicked login via input[type='submit'][value='Log in']\n[Superbru] Logged in \u2014 redirected to: https://www.superbru.com/player/dashboard.php#tab=upcoming\n[Submit] Active round tab: round6\n\n[Submit] Filling picks (dry_run=False, sprint_only=False)\n[Submit] Pole: Charles Leclerc (id=201)\n[Submit] P1: Charles Leclerc (id=201)\n[Submit] P2: Lewis Hamilton (id=9)\n[Submit] P3: George Russell (id=205)\n[Submit] P4: Kimi Antonelli (id=243)\n[Submit] P5: Max Verstappen (id=170)\n[Submit] P6: Lando Norris (id=203)\n[Submit] P7: Oscar Piastri (id=231)\n[Submit] P8: Oliver Bearman (id=236)\n[Submit] P9: Esteban Ocon (id=184)\n[Submit] P10: Isack Hadjar (id=244)\n[Submit] FL: Lewis Hamilton (id=9)\n[Submit] Filled-state screenshot: /home/lucienne/workspace/projects/f1-predictor/data/superbru_filled_monaco-2026.png\n[Submit] Clicked Save Picks (#save-button)\n[Submit] Save click error: Page.reload: net::ERR_ABORTED; maybe frame was detached?\nCall log:\n  - waiting for navigation until \"networkidle\"\n\n\n\nDone: Monaco Grand Prix prediction generated and sent\n","started_at":"2026-06-06T12:00:06.065244+02:00","status":"completed","task_id":"f1-prediction-saturday","task_name":"F1 race prediction Saturday refresh"}],"runs_limit":20,"schedule":"0 4,8,12,19 * * 5,6","schedule_label":{"description":"Fri+Sat at 04:00, 08:00, 12:00, 19:00","is_custom":false,"label":"Multi-weekly","sort":7,"sort_time":"04:00"},"stats":{"avg_duration":199.474923,"completed":7,"failed":0,"timeout":0,"total":7},"task":{"_description":"Friday/Saturday guarded deadline refresh of F1 prediction (MC-4875): 04:00,\n08:00, 12:00, and 19:00 SAST (02:00/06:00/10:00/17:00 UTC). Each slot picks up\nfresh sprint / practice data, re-runs the full pipeline, and auto-submits the\nfull race picks (Pole + Top 10 in order + Fastest Lap) to Superbru \u2014 but only\nwhile the submission window is still open (see deadline-aware safety below).\n\nWhy guarded windows: the scheduler only supports static cron, so the safe\nstrategy is bounded frequent windows plus fail-closed deadline checks in\n`run_weekly.py`. The Friday windows cover Friday qualifying weekends such as\nAzerbaijan (12:00 UTC qualifying covered by the 10:00 UTC guard). The Saturday\n02:00 UTC guard covers very early qualifying such as Australia 05:00 UTC,\nJapan 06:00 UTC, and Las Vegas 04:00 UTC; the Saturday 06:00 UTC guard covers\nChina 07:00 UTC. The 10:00/17:00 UTC guards preserve later-weekend visibility.\nAfter a deadline has passed, later slots self-skip, so no double-submit and\nnothing is overwritten after the deadline.\n\nSame `run_weekly.py` script as the Thursday task \u2014 find_upcoming_race finds\nraces within 0-4 days, so today's race (1 day out) is captured.\n\n**Deadline-aware safety:** `run_weekly.main()` calls `submission_window_open(race)`\nwhich checks `now < qualifying_utc`. If Qualifying has already started (earlier\nweekend slot), the submit step is skipped \u2014 Telegram notes \"Superbru auto-submit\nskipped: qualifying already started at <time>\" and nothing is overwritten.\n\nSprint **team** pick is handled by the separate `f1-sprint-pick` task at\nSat 04:00/06:00 SAST, gated by `sprint_window_open(race)`. This refresh does\nNOT re-submit the sprint team pick.\n\nGoal: lock in updated race picks before each race's Quali deadline, still\nearning the +2 EBP. Future improvement: fully deadline-aware scheduling that\nreads `qualifying_utc` per race instead of fixed slots \u2014 must keep the existing\nbefore-sprint / before-qualifying test gates passing\n(`tests/test_sprint_winner.py::test_saturday_*`).","_file":"f1-prediction-saturday.md","_path":"/home/lucienne/workspace/tasks/f1-prediction-saturday.md","command":"cd /home/lucienne/workspace/projects/f1-predictor && /usr/bin/python3.12 run_weekly.py","enabled":true,"id":"f1-prediction-saturday","notify_on":"always","notify_to":"f1","retry":true,"run_as":"shell","runtime_profile":"claude_sonnet_medium","schedule":"0 4,8,12,19 * * 5,6","tags":["f1","prediction"],"timeout":3600,"title":"F1 race prediction deadline refresh"}}