BTC Swing Trade Analysis — run 388256

run_id=388256
task_id=btc-swing-trader
status=completed
logged_at=2026-06-07T05:38:03.781366+02:00
truncated=false

BTC Swing Trader - E2E Pipeline (Council Phase 2)
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Config loaded. Timeframes: ['1D', '4h', '1h']

Fetching charts...
  OK 1D chart -> /home/lucienne/workspace/projects/btc-swing-trader/charts/btc_1D.png
  OK 4h chart -> /home/lucienne/workspace/projects/btc-swing-trader/charts/btc_4h.png
  OK 1h chart -> /home/lucienne/workspace/projects/btc-swing-trader/charts/btc_1h.png
  btc_1D.png: 130 KB
  btc_4h.png: 168 KB
  btc_1h.png: 157 KB

Fetching live market data...
  Market data: $61,625 (+1.8%), MA50=$75,812, RSI=7.8, ATR=$2460.0, sup=$59,131 (×1), res=$78,204 (×3), $79,479 (×2)
  Polymarket: 67.2% (bullish)

Running trading council (Opus + Sonnet + Gemini + Codex)...
  Council complete: 4 models, agreement=majority

Logging council verdict...
  Council verdict -> /home/lucienne/workspace/projects/btc-swing-trader/council_verdicts/2026-06-07_033723-verdict.json

Synthesising final trade plan...
  ─── FINAL TRADE PLAN ───
  ## FINAL TRADE PLAN
  **Action**: No Trade
  **Direction**: Flat
  **Entry Price**: —
  **Entry Method**: —
  **Stop-loss**: —
  **Target 1**: —
  **Target 2**: —
  **Risk-Reward**: —
  **Conviction**: Low
  **Rationale**: Setups split — Opus No Setup, Sonnet Long counter-trend Spring. Per split rule = No Trade. Critics (Codex + Gemini) flag Sonnet's Spring premise as false — 24h low $59,500 (1D) never pierced $59,131 (1D) support, so trigger ungrounded; both also flag invented volume/divergence data on both sides.
  **Timeframe Check**: Issues: Sonnet missing timeframe citation on Current Price; Opus cited $82k and $68k without timeframe tags; Sonnet's Spring trigger contradicts authoritative 24h range.
  Chart sent: btc_1D.png
  Chart sent: btc_4h.png
  Chart sent: btc_1h.png

Sending Telegram...
  Telegram part 1/3 sent (3926 chars)
  Telegram part 2/3 sent (3782 chars)
  Telegram part 3/3 sent (1613 chars)

Saving analysis...
  Saved -> /home/lucienne/workspace/projects/btc-swing-trader/analysis/2026-06-07-analysis.md
  Swing state -> /home/lucienne/workspace/state/swing_verdict.json (action=No Trade, dir=Flat)

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Pipeline complete. Output: /home/lucienne/workspace/projects/btc-swing-trader/analysis/2026-06-07-analysis.md