BTC Swing Trade Analysis — run 392606

run_id=392606
task_id=btc-swing-trader
status=completed
logged_at=2026-06-08T05:48:17.164845+02:00
truncated=false

BTC Swing Trader - E2E Pipeline (Council Phase 2)
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Config loaded. Timeframes: ['1D', '4h', '1h']

Fetching charts...
  OK 1D chart -> /home/lucienne/workspace/projects/btc-swing-trader/charts/btc_1D.png
  OK 4h chart -> /home/lucienne/workspace/projects/btc-swing-trader/charts/btc_4h.png
  OK 1h chart -> /home/lucienne/workspace/projects/btc-swing-trader/charts/btc_1h.png
  btc_1D.png: 131 KB
  btc_4h.png: 165 KB
  btc_1h.png: 157 KB

Fetching live market data...
  Market data: $63,156 (+2.5%), MA50=$75,633, RSI=14.4, ATR=$2650.0, sup=$59,131 (×1), res=$78,204 (×3), $79,479 (×2)
  Polymarket: 96.8% (bullish_extreme)

Running trading council (Opus + Sonnet + Gemini + Codex)...
  Council complete: 4 models, agreement=majority

Logging council verdict...
  Council verdict -> /home/lucienne/workspace/projects/btc-swing-trader/council_verdicts/2026-06-08_034749-verdict.json

Synthesising final trade plan...
  ─── FINAL TRADE PLAN ───
  ## FINAL TRADE PLAN
  **Action**: Buy
  **Direction**: Long
  **Entry Price**: $61,500 (1D)
  **Entry Method**: Limit
  **Stop-loss**: $58,400 (1D)
  **Target 1**: $71,073 (1D)
  **Target 2**: $75,633 (1D)
  **Risk-Reward**: 3.1:1 to T1
  **Conviction**: Medium
  **Rationale**: Both analysts agree Long counter-trend bounce off $59,131 (1D) support given RSI 14.4 (1D) historic extreme + Polymarket 96.8% above $58k; conservative merge takes tighter entry $61,500 (1D), shared stop $58,400 (1D), closer T1 $71,073 (1D), closer T2 $75,633 (1D). Critics (Gemini/Codex) flagged both for invented short-term data (1h RSI divergence, 4h volume claims, fabricated price history) — trade rests on verified RSI+S/R only, not pixel-derived divergence; counter-trend against stacked-bear MAs caps conviction at Medium.
  **Timeframe Check**: Issues: Sonnet's "undercut $59,131 and reclaimed" contradicts 24h low $61,184; Opus mislabeled $78k as MA50 (actual MA50 $75,633, MA200 $78,394); both cited un-provided 1h/4h indicator states.
  Chart sent: btc_1D.png
  Chart sent: btc_4h.png
  Chart sent: btc_1h.png

Sending Telegram...
  Telegram part 1/3 sent (3994 chars)
  Telegram part 2/3 sent (3789 chars)
  Telegram part 3/3 sent (2554 chars)

Saving analysis...
  Saved -> /home/lucienne/workspace/projects/btc-swing-trader/analysis/2026-06-08-analysis.md
  Swing state -> /home/lucienne/workspace/state/swing_verdict.json (action=Buy, dir=Long)

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Pipeline complete. Output: /home/lucienne/workspace/projects/btc-swing-trader/analysis/2026-06-08-analysis.md