BTC Swing Trade Analysis — run 396698

run_id=396698
task_id=btc-swing-trader
status=completed
logged_at=2026-06-09T05:42:30.575684+02:00
truncated=false

BTC Swing Trader - E2E Pipeline (Council Phase 2)
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Config loaded. Timeframes: ['1D', '4h', '1h']

Fetching charts...
  OK 1D chart -> /home/lucienne/workspace/projects/btc-swing-trader/charts/btc_1D.png
  OK 4h chart -> /home/lucienne/workspace/projects/btc-swing-trader/charts/btc_4h.png
  OK 1h chart -> /home/lucienne/workspace/projects/btc-swing-trader/charts/btc_1h.png
  btc_1D.png: 132 KB
  btc_4h.png: 166 KB
  btc_1h.png: 158 KB

Fetching live market data...
  Market data: $62,746 (-0.6%), MA50=$75,370, RSI=15.2, ATR=$2580.0, sup=$59,131 (×1), res=$78,204 (×3), $79,479 (×2)
  Polymarket: 15.0% (bearish_extreme)

Running trading council (Opus + Sonnet + Gemini + Codex)...
  Council complete: 4 models, agreement=majority

Logging council verdict...
  Council verdict -> /home/lucienne/workspace/projects/btc-swing-trader/council_verdicts/2026-06-09_034211-verdict.json

Synthesising final trade plan...
  ─── FINAL TRADE PLAN ───
  ## FINAL TRADE PLAN
  **Action**: No Trade
  **Direction**: Flat
  **Entry Price**: —
  **Entry Method**: —
  **Stop-loss**: —
  **Target 1**: —
  **Target 2**: —
  **Risk-Reward**: —
  **Conviction**: Low
  **Rationale**: Split vote — Opus No Setup, Sonnet counter-trend Long ($62,000 limit, R:R 2.38:1); rule mandates No Trade on split. Both Codex and Gemini critics flag Sonnet for invented structural data (~$100k peak, ~$84k LH, volume-spike/institutional-distribution claims absent from authoritative brief) and conviction-Low-vs-action-Buy inconsistency; Opus also flagged for unsupported volume-read claims. Watch-list trigger: MA20 $70,331 (1D) reclaim flips bias for longs; 4h lower-high rejection toward $78,204 (1D) resistance enables structural short.
  **Timeframe Check**: Issues: Sonnet entry $62,000 and stop $58,500 missing timeframe citations; both setups cite 1D-only structure with no 4h/1h confirmation of bounce or rejection.
  Chart sent: btc_1D.png
  Chart sent: btc_4h.png
  Chart sent: btc_1h.png

Sending Telegram...
  Telegram part 1/3 sent (3540 chars)
  Telegram part 2/3 sent (4014 chars)
  Telegram part 3/3 sent (2106 chars)

Saving analysis...
  Saved -> /home/lucienne/workspace/projects/btc-swing-trader/analysis/2026-06-09-analysis.md
  Swing state -> /home/lucienne/workspace/state/swing_verdict.json (action=No Trade, dir=Flat)

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Pipeline complete. Output: /home/lucienne/workspace/projects/btc-swing-trader/analysis/2026-06-09-analysis.md