Task run 404961
Task: f1-prediction - F1 race prediction pipeline
Status: completed
Started: 2026-06-11T04:00:09.088226+02:00
Finished: 2026-06-11T04:04:04.147786+02:00
Duration: 235.056732s
Log path: /home/lucienne/workspace/logs/task-runs/f1-prediction/404961.log

--- output ---
run_id=404961
task_id=f1-prediction
status=completed
logged_at=2026-06-11T04:04:04.147167+02:00
truncated=false

Calendar refreshed: 22 races
Race found: Barcelona Grand Prix on 2026-06-14
Type: Standard weekend
Running pipeline for Barcelona Grand Prix (barcelona-2026)...

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F1 Predictor Pipeline
Race: Barcelona Grand Prix
Circuit: barcelona
Sprint: False
Date: 2026-06-14
Phase: predict
Output: /home/lucienne/workspace/projects/f1-predictor/data/predictions/barcelona-2026
============================================================

[PIPELINE] Running 01_fastf1.py (timeout=300s)...
[SUCCESS] 01_fastf1.py completed

[PIPELINE] Running 02_news.py (timeout=300s)...
[SUCCESS] 02_news.py completed

[PIPELINE] Running 03_reddit.py (timeout=300s)...
[SUCCESS] 03_reddit.py completed

[PIPELINE] Running 04_odds.py (timeout=300s)...
[SUCCESS] 04_odds.py completed

[PIPELINE] Running 08_polymarket.py (timeout=300s)...
[SUCCESS] 08_polymarket.py completed

[PIPELINE] Running 07_deep_research.py (timeout=600s)...
[SUCCESS] 07_deep_research.py completed

[PIPELINE] Running 10_f1_editorial.py (timeout=300s)...
[SUCCESS] 10_f1_editorial.py completed

[PIPELINE] FP analysis: trying FastF1 first...

[PIPELINE] Running 09_fp_deep_analysis.py (timeout=600s)...
[SUCCESS] 09_fp_deep_analysis.py completed
[PIPELINE] Saved FP signals (FastF1) for 0 drivers
[PIPELINE] Saved aero/PU signals: 0 teams aero, 0 teams PU
[PIPELINE] FastF1 produced 0 drivers — falling back to OpenF1

[PIPELINE] Running 09b_openf1_fp.py (timeout=300s)...
[SUCCESS] 09b_openf1_fp.py completed
[PIPELINE] Saved FP signals (OpenF1) for 0 drivers
[PIPELINE] OpenF1 produced 0 drivers — marking FP analysis degraded
[PIPELINE] FP signals degraded for barcelona-2026: OpenF1 produced 0 drivers

[PIPELINE] Running 05_model.py (timeout=300s)...
[SUCCESS] 05_model.py completed

[PIPELINE] Running 06_opus_synthesizer.py (timeout=600s)...
[SUCCESS] 06_opus_synthesizer.py completed

============================================================
Pipeline Complete
Steps run: 10
Failed: 1
Failed steps: ['fp_analysis']
============================================================


*F1 Prediction: Barcelona Grand Prix*

P1: George Russell (Mercedes)
P2: Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes)
P3: Oscar Piastri (McLaren)
P4: Charles Leclerc (Ferrari)
P5: Lando Norris (McLaren)
P6: Lewis Hamilton (Ferrari)
P7: Max Verstappen (Red Bull)
P8: Oliver Bearman (Haas)
P9: Isack Hadjar (Racing Bulls)
P10: Esteban Ocon (Haas)

Pole: George Russell
FL: Kimi Antonelli
Qualifying: 2026-06-13 16:00 SAST

_8 AI override(s) applied_

Summary: Mercedes' first major 2026 package dominates aero-king Barcelona, locking out the front with Russell over Antonelli. McLaren's high-downforce pedigree lifts Piastri and Norris over the Ferraris, whose worst-in-field tyre degradation collapses race pace at this long-corner, high-deg circuit. Track position is everything — the grid order largely holds, with Verstappen the only car-defying outlier in the top 7.

Risks:
- Ferrari deg could be worse than modelled, dropping Leclerc/Hamilton out of the top 6 entirely — or a one-stop gamble could rescue them
- Saturday qualifying not yet run; if Mercedes pace edge is smaller than the upgrade implies, McLaren could lock out the front row

Submit before qualifying!

_⚠️ Pipeline refresh failed (data source degraded); submitting the most recent prediction so the quali deadline is not missed._
[Superbru] Auto-submitting full picks for barcelona-2026 (sprint constructor/team: not submitted in full-race mode)
=== barcelona-2026 ===
  P1: George Russell (Mercedes)
  P2: Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes)
  P3: Oscar Piastri (McLaren)
  P4: Charles Leclerc (Ferrari)
  P5: Lando Norris (McLaren)
  P6: Lewis Hamilton (Ferrari)
  P7: Max Verstappen (Red Bull)
  P8: Oliver Bearman (Haas)
  P9: Isack Hadjar (Racing Bulls)
  P10: Esteban Ocon (Haas)
  Pole: George Russell
  FL: Kimi Antonelli
  Sprint team: (skipped — non-sprint weekend)
[Superbru] Cookie consent dismissed
[Superbru] Email filled via input[type='email']
[Superbru] Password filled via input[type='password']
[Superbru] Clicked login via input[type='submit'][value='Log in']
[Superbru] Logged in — redirected to: https://www.superbru.com/player/dashboard.php#tab=upcoming
[Submit] Active round tab: round7

[Submit] Filling picks (dry_run=False, sprint_only=False)
[Submit] Pole: George Russell (id=205)
[Submit] P1: George Russell (id=205)
[Submit] P2: Kimi Antonelli (id=243)
[Submit] P3: Oscar Piastri (id=231)
[Submit] P4: Charles Leclerc (id=201)
[Submit] P5: Lando Norris (id=203)
[Submit] P6: Lewis Hamilton (id=9)
[Submit] P7: Max Verstappen (id=170)
[Submit] P8: Oliver Bearman (id=236)
[Submit] P9: Isack Hadjar (id=244)
[Submit] P10: Esteban Ocon (id=184)
[Submit] FL: Kimi Antonelli (id=243)
[Submit] Filled-state screenshot: /home/lucienne/workspace/projects/f1-predictor/data/superbru_filled_barcelona-2026.png
[Submit] Clicked Save Picks (#save-button)


Done: Barcelona Grand Prix prediction generated and sent