Task run 416059
Task: f1-prediction-saturday - F1 race prediction deadline refresh
Status: completed
Started: 2026-06-13T19:00:08.381299+02:00
Finished: 2026-06-13T19:04:41.135864+02:00
Duration: 272.751239s
Log path: /home/lucienne/workspace/logs/task-runs/f1-prediction-saturday/416059.log

--- output ---
run_id=416059
task_id=f1-prediction-saturday
status=completed
logged_at=2026-06-13T19:04:41.135022+02:00
truncated=false

Calendar refreshed: 22 races
Race found: Barcelona Grand Prix on 2026-06-14
Type: Standard weekend
Running pipeline for Barcelona Grand Prix (barcelona-2026)...

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F1 Predictor Pipeline
Race: Barcelona Grand Prix
Circuit: barcelona
Sprint: False
Date: 2026-06-14
Phase: predict
Output: /home/lucienne/workspace/projects/f1-predictor/data/predictions/barcelona-2026
============================================================

[PIPELINE] Running 01_fastf1.py (timeout=300s)...
[SUCCESS] 01_fastf1.py completed

[PIPELINE] Running 02_news.py (timeout=300s)...
[SUCCESS] 02_news.py completed

[PIPELINE] Running 03_reddit.py (timeout=300s)...
[SUCCESS] 03_reddit.py completed

[PIPELINE] Running 04_odds.py (timeout=300s)...
[SUCCESS] 04_odds.py completed

[PIPELINE] Running 08_polymarket.py (timeout=300s)...
[SUCCESS] 08_polymarket.py completed

[PIPELINE] Running 07_deep_research.py (timeout=600s)...
[ERROR] 07_deep_research.py failed:


[PIPELINE] Running 10_f1_editorial.py (timeout=300s)...
[SUCCESS] 10_f1_editorial.py completed

[PIPELINE] FP analysis: trying FastF1 first...

[PIPELINE] Running 09_fp_deep_analysis.py (timeout=600s)...
[SUCCESS] 09_fp_deep_analysis.py completed
[PIPELINE] Saved FP signals (fastf1) for 28 drivers
[PIPELINE] Saved aero/PU signals: 11 teams aero, 11 teams PU

[PIPELINE] Running 05_model.py (timeout=300s)...
[SUCCESS] 05_model.py completed

[PIPELINE] Running 11_f1insights.py (timeout=90s)...
[SUCCESS] 11_f1insights.py completed

[PIPELINE] Running 06_opus_synthesizer.py (timeout=600s)...
[SUCCESS] 06_opus_synthesizer.py completed

============================================================
Pipeline Complete
Steps run: 11
Failed: 1
Failed steps: ['07_deep_research.py']
============================================================


*F1 Prediction: Barcelona Grand Prix*

P1: George Russell (Mercedes)
P2: Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes)
P3: Lewis Hamilton (Ferrari)
P4: Lando Norris (McLaren)
P5: Max Verstappen (Red Bull)
P6: Oscar Piastri (McLaren)
P7: Charles Leclerc (Ferrari)
P8: Isack Hadjar (Red Bull)
P9: Arvid Lindblad (Racing Bulls)
P10: Liam Lawson (Racing Bulls)

Pole: George Russell
FL: George Russell
Qualifying: 2026-06-13 16:00 SAST

_6 AI override(s) applied_

Summary: Qualifying reshapes the race: Russell converted pole and the best race pace into clear favouritism (55% Polymarket), while Hamilton's shock P2 lap puts a slow-in-practice Ferrari on the front row. Track position rules at Barcelona, but Mercedes' race-pace edge lets Antonelli recover past Hamilton for P2, leaving Hamilton clinging to the final podium ahead of the grid-locked McLaren and Red Bull runners.

FP freshness: fastf1 via 09_fp_deep_analysis.py @ 2026-06-13T17:02:39.559523+00:00 (28 drivers); sessions FP1, FP2, FP3; coverage FP1:yes FP2:yes FP3:yes
FP source health: fastf1 success (28 drivers; coverage FP1:yes FP2:yes FP3:yes)

Risks:
- Hamilton could HOLD P2 — Barcelona is hard to overtake, so if his tyres survive he keeps the place and Antonelli is stuck in third
- Mercedes race-pace dominance could turn into a Russell-Antonelli 1-2 that pushes Hamilton off the podium entirely, breaking the any-order podium bet

Submit before qualifying!

_⚠️ Pipeline refresh failed (data source degraded); submitting the most recent prediction so the quali deadline is not missed._
[Superbru] Submission window closed (2026-06-13 16:00 SAST) — skipping auto-submit

Done: Barcelona Grand Prix prediction generated and sent