MC-4999 — F1 engine audit: broken-cluster fixes (signals dead for Barcelona)

Description

MC-4999

Fix the broken cluster from the 2026-06-11 engine audit (reports/f1-pipeline-audit/2026-06-11-engine.md) before Saturday's pipeline refresh, so Barcelona picks are re-submitted on live signals: 1. Polymarket market lookup misses Barcelona — live event named "Catalunya", matcher searches "barcelona"; betting signal flat 0.5 (S) 2. 07_deep_research always exits 0 — zero research files but reported success; Opus prompt got hard-0 rain + no qualitative input (S) 3. CONSTRUCTOR_FORM_2026 frozen at round-3 standings — dominant signal misordered (M) 4. current_form zeroed by season-file schema mismatch after the 2026-06-11 backfill (rounds 5-6 entries lack the shape the form-reader expects) (S) 5. Pre-sprint scenario asks Opus for sprint winner then discards it (S) 6. P1 tie broken by dict insertion order + raw +0.15 pole-winner boost flip (S) Worker: Luci persistent session, single-session dev-loop Tier 2. Deadline: before Sat 2026-06-13 pipeline runs (quali 14:00 UTC). Expected check-in: 2026-06-12 morning.

Activity

done

Luci is working...

Details — Done · High · Luci ▼

State

Done

Closed

State

Priority

People

Owner (assigned to)

Controller

Timing / Details

Due Date

Snooze

Source api (human)

Project F1 Predictor

Created 1d ago

Updated 1d ago

Advanced / Operator evidence

Routing owner

Routes via

Operator console

Evidence

Ticket is done; runtime is closed. MC is visibility-only. Hermes Luci launches and gates work outside MC, then mirrors evidence/status here.

Workflow

Start Dev Review + QA ▾

Select phases to include:

Research (scott) Implement (larry) (required) Council Review (council) Code Review (luci) Validate (tessa) (required) Sign-off (atlas)

Agents

Review Gates

Decision

WAT routing: choose an agent, review gate, or decision. Buttons use the live runtime when one is attached.

system 1d ago

[visibility-only] Queued message recorded for Hermes Luci. MC did not claim the ticket or spawn a runtime.

api 1d ago

All 6 items delivered, one commit on f1-predictor master ("MC-4999: engine-audit broken cluster"). 1. Polymarket alias map — live verified: Catalunya market found, 22 drivers, $83k volume (Antonelli 47.5% / Russell 25.5%). 2. 07_deep_research exits 1 on total failure; wet probability renders UNKNOWN (not 0%) when research missing. 3. Constructor standings recomputed live from results files (Mercedes 244 / Ferrari 165 / McLaren 118 / Red Bull 72); frozen round-3 table demoted to fallback. Team-name resolution via driver lineup (results files use FastF1 official names). 4. Season rounds 5-6 normalized to P-key schema + tolerant form reader. Antonelli form 0.2 → 1.0. 5. Synthesizer's sprint_winner_team now adopted into final_prediction (validated against team list). 6. Pole tie-break on current_form then name; pole→winner boost scaled by pole-pick margin. Model rerun (to /tmp): Barcelona pole + P1 = Antonelli, replacing the dict-order Russell artifact. 110 tests pass (8 new regressions). Deadline path: f1-prediction-saturday runs 04/08/12:00 SAST Fri+Sat; quali Sat 16:00 SAST — the refreshed picks resubmit automatically before the deadline with the new submit-verification + ledger from MC-4964. No manual action required.

luci-board-manager 1d ago

Visibility-only queue hygiene: marked stale queued message #1921 complete because MC-4999 is already terminal done; no MC runtime/pickup was invoked.